U.S. could have third act of coronavirus and it’ll seemingly be ‘extra pervasive,’ Dr. Scott Gottlieb says
The U.S. has not but had a “true second wave” of the coronavirus and the nation might see a resurgence of the virus within the fall and winter, former Meals and Drug Administration Commissioner Dr. Scott Gottlieb advised CNBC on Friday.
“I feel most peoples’ notion is we had one epidemic in New York, within the New York area, we got here down the epidemic curve, we had one other epidemic within the Solar Belt, so that actually appears like and appears like a second wave,” Gottlieb stated on “Squawk Field.” “I do suppose that we’ll have a 3rd act of this virus within the fall and the winter and it is more likely to be extra pervasive unfold in a broader a part of the nation.”
He added that the virus is more likely to unfold to rural components of the U.S., a few of which have been “largely unaffected so far.” Circumstances are already starting to construct within the West and Midwest, Gottlieb stated, including that “each neighborhood is susceptible.”
He stated the coronavirus doesn’t unfold just like the flu, which one particular person would possibly cross on to 2 or three others, he stated, however that the virus spreads largely at “super-spreading occasions” equivalent to giant gatherings, particularly indoor occasions.
“Actually, an outbreak can occur anyplace,” he stated.
Whereas every day new circumstances have fallen steadily for a few month within the U.S., the variety of new circumstances reported day by day stays above 40,000 and greater than 1,000 folks within the U.S., on common, are nonetheless dying on a regular basis attributable to Covid-19. Director of the Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention Dr. Robert Redfield stated Thursday he’d wish to convey the variety of every day new circumstances down beneath 10,000 and see every day new deaths fall to underneath 250.
He added that he expects each new circumstances and deaths to proceed to fall as folks and officers implement public well being tips equivalent to masks sporting, hand washing, social distancing and the closing of bars.
“You and I are going to see the circumstances proceed to drop. After which hopefully this week and subsequent week, you are going to begin seeing the dying charge actually begin to drop once more.” Redfield stated in an interview with Dr. Howard Bauchner of the Journal of the American Medical Affiliation. “I feel we’ll begin to see a decline in mortality throughout the nation now subsequent week as we proceed to get management of those circumstances.”
Redfield and others, together with Gottlieb, have repeatedly warned that the nation may very well be in for a very tough fall and winter. Coronavirus circumstances might start to rise once more, particularly as chilly climate forces folks indoors, the place the virus spreads extra simply. And hospitals might want to grapple with the double burden of each treating Covid-19 sufferers in addition to the anticipated seasonal influenza sufferers.
Redfield urged Individuals but once more on Thursday to get this yr’s flu vaccine as quickly because it’s obtainable to mitigate the chance of an awesome flu season. Well being officers are taking new steps to extend entry to the vaccine. Earlier this week, the Division of Well being and Human Companies introduced that it has approved pharmacists in all 50 states to supply childhood vaccinations, together with flu photographs.
In Massachusetts, well being officers stated Wednesday that almost all college students over the age of 6 months should get a flu vaccine this yr with a view to enroll in courses in January. That makes Massachusetts the primary state to require the flu vaccination for all Ok-12 and faculty college students. The state expects college students to obtain the vaccination by Dec. 31, except the coed supplies a medical or spiritual exemption.
Disclosure: Scott Gottlieb is a CNBC contributor and is a member of the boards of Pfizer, genetic-testing start-up Tempus and biotech firm Illumina. He additionally serves as co-chair of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings’ and Royal Caribbean’s “Wholesome Sail Panel.”